‰  NOW 15 WPM  ‰  TEXT IS FROM JANUARY 2014 QST  PAGE 61  ‰

TODAYS SOLAR FLUX NUMBER DOESNT REALLY TELL US WHAT THE IONOSPHERE IS DOING
RIGHT NOW.  WE HAVE A MONTHLY MEDIAN MODEL OF THE IONOSPHERE, WHICH
CORRELATES THE SMOOTHED SOLAR FLUX OR SMOOTHED SUNSPOT NUMBER TO MONTHLY
MEDIAN IONOSPHERIC PARAMETERS.  ABOUT THE MEDIAN IS A DISTRIBUTION, FROM
WHICH WE CAN PREDICT PROBABILITIES OF A BAND BEING OPEN GIVEN A SMOOTHED
SOLAR INDEX.  THATS AS FAR AS WE CAN TAKE IT.  THE BOTTOM LINE IS
REGARDLESS OF THE SOLAR FLUX, CHECK THE BAND.  IT COULD BE OPEN SINCE
‰  END OF 15 WPM TEXT  ‚